Syria's return to the Arab League. A leap in the Jordanian league

 

The statements made by the Secretary-General of the League of Arab States, Ahmed Aboul Gheit, recently, about the desire of Jordan, Iraq and Algeria to return Syria to the League after the suspension of its membership about 10 years ago seemed remarkable and burdened with connotations, especially with regard to the Jordanian role in this regard.

Away from Iraq and Algeria, which were originally against the suspension of Syria's membership, this Jordanian position can be put under scrutiny, undoubtedly linked to fundamental developments in relations between Amman and Damascus during the past periods, starting from the exchange of visits of ministerial and commercial delegations, through the visit of the Syrian Minister of Defense, General Ali Ayoub, to Jordan and the holding of talks with the commander of the army, Major General Yousef Al-Hunaiti, and the opening of the borders of the two countries, and not ending with King Abdullah II receiving a call from Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

The restoration of Jordanian-Syrian relations, which hit at the heart of the crisis in Syria, expresses a mutual desire between the two countries, as the return of relations in the context of a normal and healthy relationship between any two neighboring countries, means a legitimate push for the Syrian regime and strengthening the logic of the de facto that imposes its existence and survival after the disappearance of the dangers that for years have been threatening his throne and putting him in the scenarios of other leaders who were ravaged by the winds of the so-called “Arab Spring”.

The restoration of Jordanian-Syrian relations, which hit the core of the crisis in Syria, expresses a mutual desire between the two countries

The Syrian regime can also not exceed the position of Jordan and the King in the Arab and international arenas, especially for the United States of America under Joe Biden, as well as Russia, which deals with the Jordanian position flexibly and positively. Perhaps the most prominent thing that enhances this proposal is the success of the King during his recent visit to the United States of America, from “to softening” Washington's position towards the Assad regime, by passing the return of trade and economic activity between Jordan and Syria from behind the back of the Caesar Law, while the Kingdom can also form a back channel of communication between the Syrian regime and the Americans whose position has become under the Biden administration less rough towards Assad

In Jordan, the state is looking for what it sees as achieving its supreme interests, there are borders that must be seized from the Syrian side to ensure that there is no outpoilance that allows terrorists infiltration or smuggling of weapons and drugs, as well as concern about any activity by militias affiliated with the Lebanese Hezbollah or Iran. There are also commercial and economic interests that it is not in Jordan's interest to dispense with, as well as the hope in the future of reaching a solution that ends the huge presence of Syrian refugees in the Kingdom.

The Syrian regime cannot exceed the position of Jordan and the King in the Arab and international arenas, especially for the United States.

It is clear that Jordan is moving on its own path with the Syrian regime, freer than ever from the burden of Arab and international decisions and positions, taking advantage of comfortable understandings with the parties of power and influence (America and Russia), and also benefiting from the coldness of the Syrian file in the Arab region, especially with regard to Saudi Arabia, which is no longer active in this scene, and the war in Yemen drains its energy and effort, while the UAE turned early towards improving relations with the Assad regime, which is also supported by Egypt since Abdel Fattah al-Sisi took office, while the Qatari position against the Syrian regime does not constitute a real weight in the equation

As a result, Jordanian-Syrian relations remain under scrutiny, as well as the Jordanian “soft and quiet” role, in returning the Syrian state to its Arab bosom, which may culminate in its attendance at the Arab summit scheduled in Algeria next March.